Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.247541 0.279643 0.313742 0.352597 0.395581 0.441611 0.494569
2025-08-24 0.203380 0.246389 0.294822 0.353181 0.421362 0.498257 0.591290
2025-08-31 0.171140 0.220420 0.278798 0.352584 0.442840 0.549100 0.683072
2025-09-07 0.150386 0.204533 0.271612 0.359996 0.472466 0.609800 0.789049
2025-09-14 0.131073 0.187549 0.260467 0.360273 0.491891 0.657937 0.881407
2025-09-21 0.115548 0.173330 0.250844 0.360693 0.510308 0.704657 0.973439
2025-09-28 0.102784 0.161182 0.242367 0.361176 0.527851 0.750178 1.065288
2025-10-05 0.093641 0.152998 0.238267 0.366759 0.551893 0.804777 1.171103
2025-10-12 0.086979 0.147631 0.237439 0.376444 0.581634 0.867980 1.290965
2025-10-19 0.079554 0.140213 0.232743 0.379753 0.601909 0.918382 1.394689
2025-10-26 0.074185 0.135424 0.231453 0.387737 0.629023 0.979238 1.515304
2025-11-02 0.070032 0.132148 0.232106 0.398467 0.660457 1.047320 1.648712
2025-11-09 0.063334 0.124078 0.224721 0.396471 0.672977 1.089114 1.747104
2025-11-16 0.057685 0.117223 0.218698 0.396097 0.687779 1.134762 1.852985
2025-11-23 0.052506 0.110637 0.212515 0.394870 0.700903 1.178141 1.956930
2025-11-30 0.049345 0.107445 0.211855 0.402728 0.728938 1.245555 2.100158
2025-12-07 0.045314 0.102135 0.206964 0.402853 0.743997 1.292914 2.213702
2025-12-14 0.041721 0.097283 0.202455 0.403215 0.759250 1.340931 2.329780
2025-12-21 0.038494 0.092808 0.198233 0.403692 0.774520 1.389332 2.447961
2025-12-28 0.036252 0.090143 0.197194 0.409811 0.799736 1.454859 2.595984
2026-01-04 0.034706 0.088807 0.198590 0.420459 0.833332 1.535448 2.771285
2026-01-11 0.032511 0.085788 0.196393 0.424093 0.854407 1.595564 2.914526
2026-01-18 0.031011 0.084180 0.196893 0.432876 0.885132 1.673101 3.089314